Ebola Is Bad, But Measles Was Worse
This Year’s Terrifying Outbreak Won’t Spread as Far or as Fast as Historic Epidemics
As an epidemiologist who works with mathematical models to analyze outbreaks, I can tell you–despite the disclosure of a U.S. case in Dallas last week–there is some good news in the Ebola outbreak ravaging West Africa. This Ebola is not spreading nearly as fast as some scourges of the past.
I first worked on Ebola back in 2004 at Cornell University (under the supervision of Carlos Castillo-Chavez and in collaboration with the Los Alamos National Laboratory) as part of my doctoral dissertation modeling how the virus is transmitted. Ebola was …